Especially during "events"(Inflation data release), the markets have a way of taking many SL kept around day's high or low and resume its journey.
Sometimes you keep 5 points more than day's high & that day market may move 6 points more & fall. Certain times, we lose a good trade because of market's volatility.
When market fell second time below 5121, a "short" could have been taken.
Nifty is overbought with negative divergences in Hour T/F and it just managed to close above 5121-HEma/Today's Pivot/MEma: Weakness below this. 5074-5082-there are multiple supports-50sma/5sma/34Hr sma/50% retrace/Cam's L5/Classic Pivot's S2. ST Bearish below this. Above 5144, it still needs to overcome the "Earlier support turned resistances" @ 5170-5185. Both "green" & "Red" has a correction "down" to deal with "being below 5144", the difference being in their quantum...5074-82..OR 5012-23.
In my view, markets will correct further as longs r trapped at higher level now which r looking for an exit opportunity, along with rising wedge it is difficult for markets to go high.
@sateesh i know dear... wealthinnifty is bank nifty blog basically....i wish own i calulate jnsar level any stock so i ask the question hoow i calculate jnsar in any stock & mcx...hope i clear my doubt
It seems everyone putting lot of pressure on Ilangoji especially when markets are at cross roads. I understand everyone has pressure at crossroads to protect their position. It’s same with Ilangoji as he has to protect positions of each and every member of this blog. I feel it’s not fair to ask Ilangoji to specifically advise the entry or target prices. I can get clear action plan from his premarket view and from every comment from him. Focus is what just needed.
@Subho ....JNSAR is just a number. market will whipsaw around some number for sometime..but eventually move in some direction .. you can use 10DEMA as JNSAR.
@ ilango sir...u r really great..live long.... all my friends hope all clear ur doubt.... this blog r only learning perpose... i am new so i ask my doubt..all r new & old all r welcome this blog various qestion its help old & new bee too.
if we break the premarket support zone of 5072-84, wil that confirm we are in C. by the rule of equality of A = C this downmove will take us to near 5016-5024 as is defined by you. But again this region is dangerously close to trigger short as per JNSAR
I am fed up of this 3rd wave that is incapable of making any decisive moves past 5144. The same is true for the US markets where it's 3rd wave has failed to go past 1336.
One more reason for more likely downmove is that tomorrow being Friday, and Friday before big event like Greece election, so things pointing to more downside.
200 days before NS was at 4800 levels, 50 days ago NS near 5250-5300, so the no. which will get deducted for 200day is around 4800 and 50 day is around 5250, based on this only if nifty closes near 5000, and near 4900 levels till monday, we have death cross and possiblity,
55 comments:
finally looks like broken down ??
NS below 5100 ...
Reposting,
The Hour rising channel has broken down below 5100NS.
@Ilango
This will now confirm that we are in "C". correct? what is the minimum target. should JNSAR 5011 can be possible answer??
DR Sir,
DRSAR Triggered for short otherwise what will be the level
@ Smita,
Especially during "events"(Inflation data release), the markets have a way of taking many SL kept around day's high or low and resume its journey.
Sometimes you keep 5 points more than day's high & that day market may move 6 points more & fall.
Certain times, we lose a good trade because of market's volatility.
When market fell second time below 5121, a "short" could have been taken.
Now Nifty is at Pre-market's support zone...5074-5082(5083.65)
Nifty Pre-Market View.
= = = = = = = = = = =
Nifty is overbought with negative divergences in Hour T/F and
it just managed to close above 5121-HEma/Today's Pivot/MEma: Weakness below this.
5074-5082-there are multiple supports-50sma/5sma/34Hr sma/50% retrace/Cam's L5/Classic Pivot's S2.
ST Bearish below this.
Above 5144, it still needs to overcome the "Earlier support turned resistances" @ 5170-5185.
Both "green" & "Red" has a correction "down" to deal with "being below 5144", the difference being in their quantum...5074-82..OR 5012-23.
nearly 5lac nifty long liquidation because OI decrease with price.
Ilango sir..if we dont break 5072-84 and moves up again...some kind of rising wedge in making in last 3 days action??
Sir 2 min candle shows a high of 5127 and low of 5108 , For me catching that is very very difficult .
sir i trade in only stock... how i calculate jnsar level in stock fut plzz help????
5084 near also lies supp of line joining prev 2 lows in 5 day charts
subho
http://wealthinnifty.blogspot.in/
@ subho,
Ilango sir posts JNSAR for stocks in his other blog wealthinnifty.blogspot.in
nf lows 5081...
guess
may retest again once intraday
34 HrSma has risen to 5082 Now.
In my view, markets will correct further as longs r trapped at higher level now which r looking for an exit opportunity, along with rising wedge it is difficult for markets to go high.
NIFTY Chart analysis : CLICK HERE
Ok tks ilango ji,
sorry for the delay, some probs wid wireless @ IGIA
Now one more 30min candle close below 5100 & shorts will gain upper hand..
Sir ,
Whats the price lower channel meeting point ?
Does it coincides with 34HrSma , 50SMA and other critical supports? or lower than that.
@sateesh i know dear... wealthinnifty is bank nifty blog basically....i wish own i calulate jnsar level any stock so i ask the question hoow i calculate jnsar in any stock & mcx...hope i clear my doubt
@ ilango sir plzzzz clear my doubt
It seems everyone putting lot of pressure on Ilangoji especially when markets are at cross roads. I understand everyone has pressure at crossroads to protect their position. It’s same with Ilangoji as he has to protect positions of each and every member of this blog. I feel it’s not fair to ask Ilangoji to specifically advise the entry or target prices. I can get clear action plan from his premarket view and from every comment from him. Focus is what just needed.
subho
jnsar is sirs intellectual property. You have to visit the blog to get the SAR values. No other go
@ Subho sir
that formula is Sir property
I hope I cleared your doubt
cheers
prices are now at 200min EMA in 5min chart....what next lets see.
My understanding from pre-market view.
For the most who are in longs – Aggressive SL 5074+5 points and conservative SL is at JNSAR
If you are short – then SL is 5144+5 points
In between, just watch the action.
Seniors, pls correct me.
@Subho ....JNSAR is just a number.
market will whipsaw around some number for sometime..but eventually move in some direction ..
you can use 10DEMA as JNSAR.
@ subho ,
There is an alternative to JNSAR which is J10SAR.
J10SAR is 10 Day Ema. You can calculate it yourself for any stock or futures.
J10SAR is equally effective. Both requires your discipline and patience. Only these qualities can bring you the riches and Not JNSAR or J10SAR.
@dear all sir lear all item ..so i ask???? i understand all..thnx & regards..........@ilngo 7 others
@ ilango sir...u r really great..live long.... all my friends hope all clear ur doubt.... this blog r only learning perpose... i am new so i ask my doubt..all r new & old all r welcome this blog various qestion its help old & new bee too.
@Ilango,
if we break the premarket support zone of 5072-84, wil that confirm we are in C. by the rule of equality of A = C this downmove will take us to near 5016-5024 as is defined by you. But again this region is dangerously close to trigger short as per JNSAR
infy had great not decreasing to break 5082. it has to come down because it has one of the maximum weight-age in nifty.
Golden Words...
"Both requires your discipline and patience. Only these qualities can bring you the riches and Not JNSAR or J10SAR."
If we look in Nifty stocks advance and decline ratio ..
Advances
15
Declines
35
Few heavy weights like ACC,INFY ,Tisco etc holding the fall.
@ CDG ,
After a big-gain JNSAR trade, the next trigger, generally, whipsaw.
Take care of the "Next trade" with a filter if the need arises.
Today Nifty's Pre_open Market Nifty low is 4813.70 and High 5121.45.
Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,
OI Update at 1:00 PM
Thanks & Regards
I am fed up of this 3rd wave that is incapable of making any decisive moves past 5144. The same is true for the US markets where it's 3rd wave has failed to go past 1336.
as per WW formation in ns charts(2 days and 5 days) nifty may trade in 5120-5070-5160-5030 in next 2-3 days
Dear nifty
this is not 3rd this is 2nd. untill unless master confirms it.
One more reason for more likely downmove is that tomorrow being Friday, and Friday before big event like Greece election, so things pointing to more downside.
Dear sir,
4770-4807 (1)
4807-4788 (2)
4788-5124 (3) extended
5124-5024 (4) a-b-c
5024-5144 (5) internal 5 Wave
since it is 5 Wave formation from 5024 to 5144 cannot be lable as Wave B of 4
sir it seems correction for Wave II or B has started sir can u pls correct me if my prefered count is wrong.
Thanking you,
Nirav Patel
THIS IS C2, C1 TOOK 7 DAYS AND IT SHUD TAKE MORE THAN 7 DAYS AND 61.8% OF C1 PRICE WISE...SO 4913
There is a death crossover ( 50 DMA crossing below 200 DMA) for Monday tentatively. Its bearish.
nifty forming new 2-day low, closing below yesterday's low is clearly telling that more downside ahead!
only daily chart 50 dma has crossed 200 dma
5063 looks support
New Post Done.
DR sir,
Your hourly ss rocks.
@ ashish
Though 50/ 200 looks very close
200 days before NS was at 4800 levels, 50 days ago NS near 5250-5300, so the no. which will get deducted for 200day is around 4800 and 50 day is around 5250, based on this only if nifty closes near 5000, and near 4900 levels till monday, we have death cross and possiblity,
when it comes to politics Congress is able to take bold and quick decision , but not when its abt economics
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