Shriram - thanks for the receipe :) now the pizza is so soft with cheese nd the dosa is crispyyyyy after 4886/88 taken out
DR-ji - BN sudden 40-60 pnts up on the cards now then nifty 4894?? BN gives 550 today then fine nifty will get 4914/18/48 waiting for 480 level of BN which is the deciding factor for my intra
sir when hourly lead indicator moves up from below 20 mark then up move is confirmed only when price move past 35 hr ma on hourly closing basis .........sir is my understanding correct.
shivanGupta said... sir when hourly lead indicator moves up from below 20 mark then up move is confirmed only when price move past 35 hr ma on hourly closing basis .........sir is my understanding correct. June 5, 2012 9:32 AM
Every method of "Entry" has its own strength/ weaknesses. Your method has a lag to it though it is of a "conservative nature".
We follow 34 hr sma/ema, not 35 hr sma.
It is, finally, your choice.
I can never vouch for a method as the "returns" vary with each market...& historical performance is just a guideline.
@Sujatha Ma'm: Read your mail. Not much analysis - just initial opening trend, 1 quick contra trade made, very small profit made. Came out quick. Now waiting for right opportunity to enter again.
All talking about 4900 being taken out today, but I am jittery. I sense selling pressure & maybe in late afternoon it might reverse down. I very much agree with Bramesh sir's view in his blog. Shorts building up all along this upmove. So must be careful.
Prabhat - right me too.. y should be miss the lower price @ puts and nifty and high?? right 30 mnts google is fatty...but whenever it is fatty it may drag to one upmove then down
Since 4789 and 4770 are recent lows, will it be worthwhile to draw a line joining them and anticipate a new low. When I observed, it comes to about 4720-4730. Pls. advise me.
It is bearish as long as "Nifty stays below 4888-4919" (5 -13 ema).
It is also possible, Nifty gets exhausted with this alignment which could set up a "reversal possibility".
It is the "context" that makes such an observation more relevant.
A descending alignment at the start of a 3 rd wave has huge gains to a trader.
Presently, there are doubts whether "3rd wave is in progress" OR "c.5 of B wave is terminating". Hence, some doubt lingers on the severity of downmove.
@master "conquer your 'FEAR' here" give me 100points now. still holding one lot mininifty and waiting for add position at JNSAR hit. thanks to help in conquer my fear.
As we are seeing Nifty moving down from month to month since 5630 levels for last 3-4 months, I am thinking that June might give a rally from current levels until overbought situation in daily T/F. Pls. advise me if I am correct.
Day 34 sma 5042today coming down day 200 sma 5075 these are the crucial levels month TA is bearish. day JNSAR is 4927 trend is flat. possibility if JNSAR triggers nearabout 80 points yield possible but if it breaks 34 sma then we can expect more let us see
Good Morning Ilango Sir and all. Sir, on 30 min chart Nifty is forming an expanding diagonal pattern and Nifty can move between 4800 and 5050 before a clear trend emerges. Pl corrrect me if wrong.
Dear Sujatha, This was the famous dialog from Hindi film "DEEWAR" that "Leader ki maut agar sahi vakt pe ho jati hai to vo hamesha ke liye amar ho jata hai... usaka jinda rahana hi hamare liye jaroori hai...
on the same line,even in down trending market too,if Buyers shall not come there for support,to lift market then how one shall get an opportunity to sell @ higher price ?
so one should wait for iron to get hot and then only strike...
Mynac - thanks for your views mm, BN is week below only 340 levels atleast it has to trade below 400 levels consistently but itching is trading below the resis. line 4886/88 is weak week HEMA JNSAR all nearby ..:) BN hit 480 is danger to bears for short term
निलेश,श्रीराम, निफ्टी ची आजची अंगलक्षणे मला ती येथे ४८९० च्या वर बाळसे धरायचा प्रयत्न करत असल्यची दिसतात.त्या मुळे दुपार नंतरचा सेशन हा नेहमी प्रमाणेच थरारक राहायची शक्यता दर्शविते. अडीच पर्यंत ती येथेच आसपास लेझीम खेळेल नि दुपार नंतर मेन रोडला लागल्या नंतर मिरवणुकीत खरा रंग भरेल असे वाटते..बघुयात...
@Sujatha ma'm: I feel not to short until europe opens. Usually nifty rises from 12:15 to 1:15 after which it falls again till 2 pm. The final hour play comes in later to decide the course for the coming day.
The higher it goes, the better for bears since they can short at higher levels. As for me, I am waiting & biting my finger nails.. hope I dont start biting my toe nails too.
Dear indus, Nothing special, Just want to say that the way Nifty is holding and staying around 4890 since morning,it looks that it is gaining or you may say trying to gain some momentum for it's up-move beyond 4890 in the latter trading Hrs. for the day...would like to see 4925 today and 4950 tomorrow... Market is supreme so let us see..
mynac, ४८९५ चे वर ४९५० आहे पण एकदा सरांनी बोलल्याप्रमाणे ४८५० पर्यंत खाली येयील असे वाटते. पण ६३३९ ६१०० ५९०० ५७५० ची लक्ष्मणरेषा हा फार मोठा अडथला आहे असे मला वाटते. तो अडथळा ४८९५ ते ४९२५ मधे येतो. पाहूया काय होते ते.
In your spare time, please advise me regarding below strategy.
Long trade when EOD above 3DEMA. Short trade otherwise. EOD & 3DEMA calculated at 3-25 pm based on 30 sma 1 min chart. When checked for last 2 months, I found that profits are very good if one can book profits intra day n re-enter by keeping previous day's 3DEMA by using long/short strategy mentioned above. However, I am not sure of intra day parameters to be followed.
Kindly advise. This is very important to me since I want to follow this for both Nifty and BN.
@master thanks. one more help required. like nifty can we get hourly banknifty data and update excel sheet so we can also conquer our fear in banknifty too!!! thanks.
Since morning in first 3 Hrs.almost 3 lac addition is there in 4900 PE..which looks interesting here when Nifty is trading around 4890... It looks Bulls have make up their mind...
Prabhat - very true. Instead biting your nail eat "lollypup" for timepass :) will be very happy if 4900 not taken out..but mm... mmm.. Mr. market is supreme i hv to "bow"
Dear sri, Very true... I second you....Nevertheless,one may keep his eye on Hrly.TT File in-between for entry & exit...As well as in trending market one has to develop the practice to book profits while trading against the trend @ regular intervals.
90 comments:
Morning everyone!
2 half hr candle closes > 4855 & Nifty is Bullish on 30mins TA
EOD close > 4891 reqd to turn 5DEMA Up
Have a gr8 day, cheers!
GM sir and all :)
Shriram - thanks for the receipe :) now the pizza is so soft with cheese nd the dosa is crispyyyyy after 4886/88 taken out
DR-ji - BN sudden 40-60 pnts up on the cards now then nifty 4894?? BN gives 550 today then fine nifty will get 4914/18/48 waiting for 480 level of BN which is the deciding factor for my intra
sir
when hourly lead indicator moves up from below 20 mark then up move is confirmed only when price move past 35 hr ma on hourly closing basis .........sir is my understanding correct.
shivanGupta said...
sir
when hourly lead indicator moves up from below 20 mark then up move is confirmed only when price move past 35 hr ma on hourly closing basis .........sir is my understanding correct.
June 5, 2012 9:32 AM
Every method of "Entry" has its own strength/ weaknesses.
Your method has a lag to it though it is of a "conservative nature".
We follow 34 hr sma/ema, not 35 hr sma.
It is, finally, your choice.
I can never vouch for a method as the "returns" vary with each market...& historical performance is just a guideline.
thanks sir
@Sujatha Ma'm: Read your mail. Not much analysis - just initial opening trend, 1 quick contra trade made, very small profit made. Came out quick. Now waiting for right opportunity to enter again.
All talking about 4900 being taken out today, but I am jittery. I sense selling pressure & maybe in late afternoon it might reverse down. I very much agree with Bramesh sir's view in his blog. Shorts building up all along this upmove. So must be careful.
@Ilango
The 5DEMA to 55DEMA are sequenced in perfect
ascending order...is this bearish????
GM Everybody...
Prabhat - right me too.. y should be miss the lower price @ puts and nifty and high?? right 30 mnts google is fatty...but whenever it is fatty it may drag to one upmove then down
Ilango ji,
Pls check if another EW option possible,
Truncated impulse 5342-4805 & now Expanded Flat corrective to UP, thus:-
a 4805 5020 215
b 5020 4770 -250 -116.3%
C in play can do 161.8% x A
c 4770 5117.87 347.87 161.8%
Looks plausible to u ?
urs
Good morning Sir,
Since 4789 and 4770 are recent lows, will it be worthwhile to draw a line joining them and anticipate a new low. When I observed, it comes to about 4720-4730. Pls. advise me.
Best regards
@sujatha
4898
:)
@ Indus,
It is bearish as long as "Nifty stays below 4888-4919" (5 -13 ema).
It is also possible, Nifty gets exhausted with this alignment which could set up a "reversal possibility".
It is the "context" that makes such an observation more relevant.
A descending alignment at the start of a 3 rd wave has huge gains to a trader.
Presently, there are doubts whether "3rd wave is in progress" OR "c.5 of B wave is terminating". Hence, some doubt lingers on the severity of downmove.
The way Nifty is trading above it's Hrly pivot and went up to 4890,shows Bulls command and intention..
Would like to see(wish)4925 today and 4950 tomorrow,to become this cat N mouse game more interesting.
hi hello to all and very good morning
@ shriram,
I'll keep that option "alive" since "Month trend is fully down" and an intra month rally would fit the scenario.
Sir,
We cannot subscibe to your blog via Google Reader(as we did earlier).
Please instal the feed widget.
Sam Cambatta
Yes Sam,
June 1 EOD report is the last feed into my Google Reader.
@master
"conquer your 'FEAR' here" give me 100points now. still holding one lot mininifty and waiting for add position at JNSAR hit.
thanks to help in conquer my fear.
Camarilla Intraday Follow Up - Nifty Futures
Scenario 2
H4 4891[BUY]
H3 4866[SELL]
Note: 20pts Stoploss. Prices are for NIFTY JUNE 2012 FUTURES contract.
Anil - got down - now with ulta view with SL of 4918 SPOT AND BN 480/500 positional
@Ilango
Thank you
@Ilango Sir,
As we are seeing Nifty moving down from month to month since 5630 levels for last 3-4 months, I am thinking that June might give a rally from current levels until overbought situation in daily T/F. Pls. advise me if I am correct.
Best regards
mynac - oh no.. i missed ur post :( pls. don't na let it trade below 875 grinding
tks illango ji,
if 5DEMA turns up today, may b it will support the idea...
@ channasri,
Remember: There are many "channels at work" at all times. Combining TA with channels would add more effectiveness.
Connecting 2008's 2253 and 2009's 2539, the day channel gets broken, weekly got dented
BUT
the month channel has held at 4770.
Your option would remain in contention till EOD prices confirm a reversal.
Good Morning Master and copy to All
bit busy 2day, wont be available
Day 34 sma 5042today coming down
day 200 sma 5075
these are the crucial levels
month TA is bearish.
day JNSAR is 4927 trend is flat.
possibility if JNSAR triggers nearabout 80 points
yield possible but if it breaks 34 sma
then we can expect more
let us see
The 3rd wave from 4770 low will be completing now(if not done already).
The correction should find support at the gap area.
Banknifty JNSAR hit long. what is deeloping JNSAR for bank nifty sir?
Camarilla Intraday Follow Up - Nifty Futures
Trade1: H3 4866[SELL] Triggered with 20pts Stoploss.
@ channasri,
As stated earlier, it is the EOD prices which would confirm whether such a reversal is underway.
GM DR sir
Good Morning Ilango Sir and all.
Sir, on 30 min chart Nifty is forming an expanding diagonal pattern and Nifty can move between 4800 and 5050 before a clear trend emerges. Pl corrrect me if wrong.
@ MASTER
SUPPORT AT GAP AREA !
PLZ.. GIVE VALUE...
Dear Ilango Sir & Blogmates,
OI Update at 11:00 AM
Thanks & Regards
Sir, pl read as expanding TRIANGLE.
julius sir please explain if camarialla chart is of futures or ns very confused
Master ,
u always say filter of 20 points on JNSAR on day of hit ,like that is filter of 50pts in BNJNSAR not advisable today?
@Mr.SANDEEP,
Clearly Told in Every Post of Mine.
All levels are Nifty Futures
H4 4891[BUY]
H3 4866[SELL]
As per my indicator H3 Sell triggered in futures!
11.00AM TT & Chart Updated.
Dear Sujatha,
This was the famous dialog from Hindi film "DEEWAR" that
"Leader ki maut agar sahi vakt pe ho jati hai to vo hamesha ke liye amar ho jata hai... usaka jinda rahana hi hamare liye jaroori hai...
on the same line,even in down trending market too,if Buyers shall not come there for support,to lift market then how one shall get an opportunity to sell @ higher price ?
so one should wait for iron to get hot and then only strike...
thanks sir
@ SANPOT,
The pattern is not clear enough.
@ NOBLE,
Gap is @ 4858 to 4864.
Good Morning....................
@ prakashbkc,
BN has risen steeply from its lows. Hence, allow it to have a pull back to its gap area @ 9406-9433.
thanx Master
kudos to bull. tiered but playing well
Mynac - thanks for your views mm, BN is week below only 340 levels atleast it has to trade below 400 levels consistently but itching is trading below the resis. line 4886/88 is weak week HEMA JNSAR all nearby ..:) BN hit 480 is danger to bears for short term
Thanks Sir.
Does anyone have volume data? What is that indicating?
nifty rider - don't worry - it may be clean BOLD by NEWS or LBW by the "RUPEE" if 4918 is not taken out on closing basis.
निलेश,श्रीराम,
निफ्टी ची आजची अंगलक्षणे मला ती येथे ४८९० च्या वर बाळसे धरायचा प्रयत्न करत असल्यची दिसतात.त्या मुळे दुपार नंतरचा सेशन हा नेहमी प्रमाणेच थरारक राहायची शक्यता दर्शविते.
अडीच पर्यंत ती येथेच आसपास लेझीम खेळेल नि दुपार नंतर मेन रोडला लागल्या नंतर मिरवणुकीत खरा रंग भरेल असे वाटते..बघुयात...
@Sujatha ma'm: I feel not to short until europe opens. Usually nifty rises from 12:15 to 1:15 after which it falls again till 2 pm. The final hour play comes in later to decide the course for the coming day.
The higher it goes, the better for bears since they can short at higher levels. As for me, I am waiting & biting my finger nails.. hope I dont start biting my toe nails too.
@Mynac!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!English please
Camarilla Intraday Follow Up
Nifty Futures
Trade1: H3 4866[SELL] Triggered with SL@4886.
Partial Booking@4846 Remaining Trailing.
Dear indus,
Nothing special,
Just want to say that the way Nifty is holding and staying around 4890 since morning,it looks that it is gaining or you may say trying to gain some momentum for it's up-move beyond 4890 in the latter trading Hrs. for the day...would like to see 4925 today and 4950 tomorrow... Market is supreme so let us see..
Nifty Trying for New Intraday High....
@ म्य्नाक नमस्कार .....
mynac,
४८९५ चे वर ४९५० आहे पण एकदा सरांनी बोलल्याप्रमाणे ४८५० पर्यंत खाली येयील असे वाटते. पण ६३३९ ६१०० ५९०० ५७५० ची लक्ष्मणरेषा हा फार मोठा अडथला आहे असे मला वाटते. तो अडथळा ४८९५ ते ४९२५ मधे येतो. पाहूया काय होते ते.
@ anmpatel,
BN's dev. JNSAR: 9467.
अभिषेक नमस्कार...:) Hello:)
Thanks Nilesh...
Traders don't need this:
Praying & Hoping.
Traders do need this:
Strategy - Simple & Clear Rules - Obey the Rules.
Dear Sir,
Many thanks for both advises.
In your spare time, please advise me regarding below strategy.
Long trade when EOD above 3DEMA. Short trade otherwise. EOD & 3DEMA calculated at 3-25 pm based on 30 sma 1 min chart. When checked for last 2 months, I found that profits are very good if one can book profits intra day n re-enter by keeping previous day's 3DEMA by using long/short strategy mentioned above. However, I am not sure of intra day parameters to be followed.
Kindly advise. This is very important to me since I want to follow this for both Nifty and BN.
Best regards
@master
thanks.
one more help required. like nifty can we get hourly banknifty data and update excel sheet so we can also conquer our fear in banknifty too!!!
thanks.
Since morning in first 3 Hrs.almost 3 lac addition is there in 4900 PE..which looks interesting here when Nifty is trading around 4890... It looks Bulls have make up their mind...
DH broke!
CAM shorters strict stoploss@4886(nifty futures)
@DR Sir: BN ready to blast by another 70-80 pts?
Sir,
Any chances of mid point crisis?
PS sir,
any entry pt for Long on Nifty found?
Prabhat - very true. Instead biting your nail eat "lollypup" for timepass :) will be very happy if 4900 not taken out..but mm... mmm.. Mr. market is supreme i hv to "bow"
@cooldent.
Thought of asking the same question.
@prakash bkc sir has put jnsar 4915. that will be long entry point if u follow jnsar
@ channasri ,
You seem to be in a hurry and have chosen 3 DEma.
If it produces good results, carry on with it. Don't discuss it further. Just do it.
namaskar mynac,
sorry , kamaat adaklo tyamule tumcha msg ushira vachala
EOD close > 4891 will definitely make this GREEN , 100% takke sahmat ahe :-)
Hi mynac,
can we read the addition like this...
4% addition in NF alongwith 8% in 4800PE & 13.5% in 4900CE. And, importantly, price action is firm supporting the pile up.
Seems some more cream left in the run up..what do you say ?
regards
is there any negative divergence in 5 min nifty charts ?
@Master
what will be DHEMA for banknifty today?
Thanx PS sir
@sujata
it will not happen today,i guess.for me bulls remain weak if they wont cross 4940.
9hr RSI reaching near 100.....some cooling required? experts???
@Master
what will be DHEMA for banknifty today?
Nifty seems to be resting after the upmove.. time to add onto the shorts with a strict SL of JNSAR. No 20 pts filter now :) :)
Dear sri,
Very true... I second you....Nevertheless,one may keep his eye on Hrly.TT File in-between for entry & exit...As well as in trending market one has to develop the practice to book profits while trading against the trend @ regular intervals.
@anmpatel
DHEMA is 9502
Dear anmpatel,
Thanks for your alert..
New Post Done.
from Last 7 hrly candle price able to make nearly open & low same showing strength , May be indication of reversal ,, Lets c
4900 looking strong supply area......once it passed.....then!!!
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