Saturday, September 25, 2010

Thank God For The Tatas

We have more to be proud off than what the Infosys and Wipro's of India provide..........I visited Jamshedpur over the weekend to see for myself an India that is fast disappearing despite all the wolf-cries of people like Narayanamurthy and his ilk.

It is one thing to talk and quite another to do and I am delighted to tell you that Ratan Tata has kept alive the legacy of perhaps India's finest industrialist J.N. Tata.

Something that some people doubted when Ratan took over the House of the Tata's but in hindsight, the best thing to have happened to the Tata's is unquestionably Ratan.

I was amazed to see the extent of corporate philanthropy and this is no exaggeration.

Letting go to let it all in.

The cheerful girl with bouncy golden curls was almost five. Waiting with her mother at the checkout stand, she saw them: a circle of glistening white pearls in a pink foil box.

"Oh please, Mommy. Can I have them? Please, Mommy, please?" Quickly the mother checked the back of the little foil box and then looked back into the pleading blue eyes of her little girl's upturned face. "A dollar ninety-five. That's almost $2.00. If you really want them, I'll think of some extra chores for you and in no time you can save enough money to buy them for yourself. Your birthday's only a week away and you might get another crisp dollar bill from Grandma."

As soon as Jenny got home, she emptied her penny bank and counted out 17 pennies. After dinner, she did more than her share of chores and she went to the neighbor and asked Mrs. McJames if she could pick dandelions for ten cents.

Friday, September 24, 2010

Nifty ends the week firm above 6000 with all TA intact.




Nifty Intraday Update-III

"6015" has been Hourly highest close in the last 2 days acting as a resistance now.The correction of 2+ days in Euro as shown in "10min Chart".
A break out today and pull back towards the break-out point:
Watching the actual break-out post the pull back in "1 Min Chart":

Nifty Intraday Update-II

12.00:Watch those supports @ 5956-5965. And a break above "5975" again.

Nifty Intraday Update-I

Channel broke and is back inside.
ORB buy @ 5965. Next resistance @ 5980-5985.
14hr rsi at Oversold region but not reversed yet.
More time spent here corrects the short term.

Nifty PreMarket View

The Chart says it all. maximum drop acceptable to bulls is 5895-5905. The breakout from the downward sloping channel is 5968, days pivot above which "5980-5985 has acted as support/ resistances in the past 4 days.
If 5880 breaks, it would mean the "upmove from 5349 has ended as a 5 wave completion" and a larger 4th wave will be on taking 10-15 trading days or more.
Trade well & smart. Best wishes.



Thursday, September 23, 2010

Nifty comes off its lows during this correction within the channel..

So far so good trending up within the channel.
Whipsaws/ break of channels are likely in this band of 5885/5925 to 6000/6025.
Tomorrow's pivot is 5-sma(5966) and a firm trade above it would be safe for bulls for further upsides into next week.
This upmove could also be relabelled as 5 waves completion as an alternative possibility which will be considered only on a breach of 5885 for deeper corrections. JNSAR has moved up to 5890 for tomorrow. In such a scenario, the settlement is likely to be during the "b" wave up of such a deep correction.
Rajnish Kumar has started a new blog.

Nifty Intraday Update-III

9-hr rsi is giving a break-out on the upside possibility.

Nifty Intraday Update-II


Nifty Intraday Update-I

I will be updating the JNSAR for tomorrow in the Tech.table.

Nifty PreMarket View

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Nifty's two spinning tops & the bounce off its 5sma within the channel for the 1st time.

Prices are firm above all emas after intraday corrections.

Nifty Intraday Update-III



Nifty Intraday Update-II

Intraday double bottom @ 5980. res: now @ 6005. Sup: below @ 5960/5945.
Updated Chart @ 1.03PM:


Nifty Intraday Update-I

Nifty Premarket View

EW/ TA combined to give a "nearing top scenario" here. Until the rising support is not broken, no fall is certain but it is likely in a day or two. I will update on the critical "Break down point" as well as the "resistance point" in the top resistance line to facilitate entry/ exits.
The following are the Highs and lows of the extremes of this rising wedge channel.
Time:..... HIGH......LOW
10.00: 6,075.00- 5,995.00
11.00: 6,080.00- 6,001.00
12.00: 6,085.00- 6,008.00
13.00: 6,090.00- 6,015.00
14.00: 6,095.00- 6,024.00
15.00: 6,100.00- 6,032.00
15.30: 6,105.00- 6,040.00

JNSAR is on the verge of "Making its 1000+ points" in just 30+ days..

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Nifty does a spinning top but needs confirmation.

The spinning top candlestick consists of a short body with a longer wick on either side. The length of the wicks may vary, but they are both longer than the body and similar in length to each other. This pattern is similar to the long-legged doji, but with a slightly larger body.
The spinning top can be white or black, with both having important implications for the future of the trend. A white spinning top means that the market fluctuated but closed just a bit above its opening price, while a black spinning top denotes that it fluctuated but closed below the opening price.

A spinning top is a powerful indicator that the market is indecisive. There has been significant buying and selling activity, but at the end of the day the stock closed not far from where it opened. Both buyers and sellers reigned at different parts of the day, but neither made much headway. In other words, the buyers and sellers are in a tug of war, but neither side is showing a clear advantage. This is especially significant in trending markets because it indicates that the trend is losing momentum. A spinning top can indicate that there is considerable indecision that may result in a trend reversal. The market has moved higher, then sharply lower, or vice versa.

Your Next Move

Single sticks reflect only one day’s trading and thus must be considered within this context. For example, if a white spinning top occurs after a long white candlestick, it means the bullish trend is weakening. If it is observed after a long black candlestick, it can mean that there is a potential reversal of the trend. Vice versa, a black spinning top after a long black candlestick indicates the trend is weakening, while the same candlestick after a long white candlestick can predict a reversal. While the spinning top is a significant pattern, it is not considered a reliable enough indicator to warrant action on its own. The spinning top can predict a reversal or an interruption, but it also may be part of a continuation pattern. You should not act based on a spinning top candlestick alone.

Confirmation

The spinning top candlestick should be considered along with other candlesticks to determine the trend. Depending on the trend up until that point, confirmation can mean i) a continuation of the upward ; ii) or downward trend that the spinning top forecasted, iii) or even stagnation. However, do not take action without confirmation. If there is a spinning top followed by a continuation of the prior trend, you will be glad you waited for confirmation.


Nifty Intraday Update-III



Nifty Intraday Update-II

The fall from 6031 to 5962 is being retraced & expected to meet intra resistance with -ve div.
After getting resisted & with -ve div intact, it breaks the rising trendline & falls.


Nifty Intraday Update-I